The Goal: To Score Goals
It’s really hard to predict how many goals a player, or even the Rangers as a whole will score in a season. That’s true, largely because the sample sizes are so small that they’re often statistically insignificant. We do have a lot of Rangers-centric data here at OTG, and perhaps at some point I’ll try and use that historical data to create a different view, but for now I’m using simple career stats for each player to try and do the impossible: predict who will play, and who will score goals.
Injuries are a challenge to predict for sure, but I wanted to take into account that some players have had more injuries than others in recent years. I’m talking about you Adam Fox, J.T. Miller and Sean Durzi. The model I’ve built tries to factor that in as part of the consideration too.